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En-bloc Probability

Structural odds of a collective sale, from age to plot ratio.

En-bloc probability from the structural facts: the development's age, how far its current plot ratio sits below the Master Plan, tenure and remaining lease, unit count, and market appetite. It gives the odds and the reasons, not a promise.

What you enter

  • Age, tenure and remaining lease
  • Current and allowable plot ratio, unit count
  • Your read on the area and the market

What you get

  • A probability band with each factor's contribution
  • What would move it
  • The consent test the sale would need to pass

Worked example

A 1990s condo at 1.4 plot ratio, allowable 2.8

Moderate to high — the unbuilt potential is the driver

Plot ratio headroom
100%
Age
34 years
Consent needed
80% share value and 80% area

Illustrative, for a Singapore citizen couple, 35, first property, $12,000 a month between them, $250,000 cash and $200,000 in CPF Ordinary Account unless the case says otherwise. Your own numbers replace every figure the moment you use the tool.

The rule behind it, in prose: How to read a land bid, and what it says about tomorrow's launch price.

Answers: en bloc probability, collective sale chance, plot ratio.

Also in Invest & Grow

This tool comes with a free account: no card, one minute, and your results carry into the roadmap and the report.